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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 22, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Augsburg logo

Dortmund
4 - 3
Augsburg

Bellingham (29'), Schlotterbeck (42'), Bynoe-Gittens (75'), Reyna (78')
Bellingham (84')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Maier (40'), Demirovic (45+1'), Colina (76')
Pedersen (45'), Cardona (54'), Jensen (69'), Engels (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 5-1 Dusseldorf
Tuesday, January 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Augsburg

Terzic will be eager for his side to hit the ground running after a disappointing end to last year, and a home fixture against a side near the bottom should be ideal. Augsburg are good away from home and could cause Dortmund's often-ropey defence a few problems, but it may be too much of an ask. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 73.84%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 10.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 3-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawAugsburg
73.84% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13) 15.55% (0.090999999999999 0.09) 10.61% (0.039 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.18% (-0.238 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.18% (-0.36 -0.36)32.82% (0.359 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.48% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)54.52% (0.416 0.42)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.4% (-0.11 -0.11)7.59% (0.1089 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.82% (-0.286 -0.29)27.17% (0.286 0.29)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.64% (-0.187 -0.19)41.36% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.12% (-0.163 -0.16)77.87% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 73.84%
    Augsburg 10.61%
    Draw 15.55%
Borussia DortmundDrawAugsburg
2-0 @ 10.43% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.97% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.1% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.1% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.98% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.25% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.28% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 73.84%
1-1 @ 7.15% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.14% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.55%
1-2 @ 3.16% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.77% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.22% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 10.61%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Augsburg

Borussia Dortmund
88.4%
Draw
7.2%
Augsburg
4.3%
69
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 4.30pm
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-1
Augsburg
Guerreiro (10' pen.), Brandt (51')
Reus (44')
Zeqiri (35')
Gruezo (13'), Oxford (15'), Zeqiri (53')
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-1
Augsburg
Delaney (26'), Sancho (63'), Uduokhai (75' og.)
Hahn (10')
Iago (20')
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
2-0
Dortmund
Uduokhai (40'), Caligiuri (54')
Gregoritsch (29'), Khedira (30'), Gouweleeuw (31')

Braut Haaland (30'), Meunier (38'), Witsel (71'), Can (76')
Jan 18, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
3-5
Dortmund
Niederlechner (34', 55'), Richter (46')
Brandt (49'), Braut Haaland (59', 70', 79'), Sancho (61')
Reyna (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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