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Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 22, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
Augsburg logo

Dortmund
4 - 3
Augsburg

Bellingham (29'), Schlotterbeck (42'), Bynoe-Gittens (75'), Reyna (78')
Bellingham (84')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Maier (40'), Demirovic (45+1'), Colina (76')
Pedersen (45'), Cardona (54'), Jensen (69'), Engels (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 5-1 Dusseldorf
Tuesday, January 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Augsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Augsburg

 Terzic will be eager for his side to hit the ground running after a disappointing end to last year, and a home fixture against a side near the bottom should be ideal. Augsburg are good away from home and could cause Dortmund's often-ropey defence a few problems, but it may be too much of an ask. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 73.84%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 10.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 3-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawAugsburg
73.84% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13) 15.55% (0.090999999999999 0.09) 10.61% (0.039 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.18% (-0.238 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.18% (-0.36 -0.36)32.82% (0.359 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.48% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)54.52% (0.416 0.42)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.4% (-0.11 -0.11)7.59% (0.1089 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.82% (-0.286 -0.29)27.17% (0.286 0.29)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.64% (-0.187 -0.19)41.36% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.12% (-0.163 -0.16)77.87% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 73.84%
    Augsburg 10.61%
    Draw 15.55%
Borussia DortmundDrawAugsburg
2-0 @ 10.43% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 8.97% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.1% (0.109 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.1% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.98% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.25% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.28% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 73.84%
1-1 @ 7.15% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.14% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.55%
1-2 @ 3.16% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.77% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.22% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 10.61%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Augsburg

Borussia Dortmund
88.4%
Draw
7.2%
Augsburg
4.3%
69
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 4.30pm
Augsburg
1-1
Dortmund
Sarenren Bazee (78')
Vargas (19'), Dorsch (47')
Hazard (35')
Bellingham (87')
Oct 2, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-1
Augsburg
Guerreiro (10' pen.), Brandt (51')
Reus (44')
Zeqiri (35')
Gruezo (13'), Oxford (15'), Zeqiri (53')
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
3-1
Augsburg
Delaney (26'), Sancho (63'), Uduokhai (75' og.)
Hahn (10')
Iago (20')
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
2-0
Dortmund
Uduokhai (40'), Caligiuri (54')
Gregoritsch (29'), Khedira (30'), Gouweleeuw (31')

Braut Haaland (30'), Meunier (38'), Witsel (71'), Can (76')
Jan 18, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
3-5
Dortmund
Niederlechner (34', 55'), Richter (46')
Brandt (49'), Braut Haaland (59', 70', 79'), Sancho (61')
Reyna (76')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Wolfsburg146353125621
7Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242
> Bundesliga Full Table


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