Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.