Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.