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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
Result | ||
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Hoffenheim |
46.38% ( 0.2) | 23.91% ( -0.06) | 29.71% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 59.22% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.26% ( 0.21) | 42.73% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.86% ( 0.21) | 65.13% ( -0.21) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.38% ( 0.17) | 18.62% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.08% ( 0.28) | 49.92% ( -0.27) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.77% ( 0.01) | 27.23% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.34% ( 0.02) | 62.65% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.44% Total : 46.38% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 29.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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