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Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
Mainz logo

Schalke
1 - 0
Mainz

Terodde (10')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 0-3 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Schalke 04DrawMainz 05
33.08% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)23.29% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)43.63% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 63.2% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.77% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)38.23% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.49% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)60.51% (0.073 0.07)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)22.98% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (-0.112 -0.11)56.77% (0.114 0.11)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (0.0039999999999907 0)17.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.23% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)48.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 33.08%
    Mainz 05 43.63%
    Draw 23.28%
Schalke 04DrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.08%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.08% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.12% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.77% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.48% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 43.63%

How you voted: Schalke vs Mainz

Schalke 04
21.7%
Draw
26.1%
Mainz 05
52.2%
69
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2021 7.30pm
Nov 7, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz
2-2
Schalke
Brosinski (6' pen.), Mateta (45+2' pen.)
Latza (64')
Uth (36'), St Juste (82' og.)
Kabak (44'), Laumann (54')
Feb 16, 2020 5pm
Mainz
0-0
Schalke

Bruma (33'), Brosinski (53')

Todibo (58'), Kutucu (86')
Sep 20, 2019 7.30pm
Schalke
2-1
Mainz
Serdar (36'), Harit (89')
McKennie (47')
Onisiwo (74')
Brosinski (65')
Feb 23, 2019 2.30pm
Mainz
3-0
Schalke
Onisiwo (18', 84'), Mateta (73')
Latza (29'), Oztunali (60'), Boetius (72'), Onisiwo (84')

Bruma (49'), Caligiuri (75')