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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
Mainz logo

Stuttgart
1 - 1
Mainz

Guirassy (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ingvartsen (40' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, November 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawMainz 05
49.29% (-0.432 -0.43)23.79% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)26.92% (0.45 0.45)
Both teams to score 57.54% (0.477 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56% (0.446 0.45)44% (-0.45 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.61% (0.433 0.43)66.38% (-0.437 -0.44)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04% (0.0040000000000049 0)17.96% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2% (0.007000000000005 0.01)48.79% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14% (0.57599999999999 0.58)29.86% (-0.578 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.05% (0.691 0.69)65.95% (-0.69300000000001 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 49.29%
    Mainz 05 26.92%
    Draw 23.78%
StuttgartDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 49.29%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 6.73% (0.085 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 26.92%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Mainz

Stuttgart
47.1%
Draw
32.4%
Mainz 05
20.6%
34
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Nov 26, 2021 7.30pm
Stuttgart
2-1
Mainz
Ito (21'), Sosa (51')
Mangala (36'), Sosa (90+2')
Hack (39')
Caricol (9'), Boetius (90+5')
Jan 29, 2021 7.30pm
Stuttgart
2-0
Mainz
Kalajdzic (55'), Wamangituka (72')
Forster (33')

Niakhate (21'), Bell (43'), Onisiwo (45+1'), Svensson (54'), Kohr (81')
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
Mainz
1-4
Stuttgart
Quaison (13')
Niakhate (37')
Niakhate (77')
Wamangituka (45'), Didavi (61'), Klimowicz (80'), Kalajdzic (86')
Stenzel (52'), Mangala (69'), Castro (74')
Stenzel (90+1')
Jan 19, 2019 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Mainz
Gonzalez (83'), Kempf (85')
Kempf (20'), Ascacibar (89')
Ascacibar (22' og.), Mateta (28'), Hack (72')
Brosinski (84'), Holtmann (90')