Bundesliga Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Moussa Diaby 30' goal
  • Jonathan Tah 82' goal

Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
FC Koln 1 - 2 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Moussa Diaby

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last game
Nov 8, 2022 7.30pm
Stuttgart 2 - 1 Hertha Berlin
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 14.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 66.4% (+1.66)
Draw 18.97% (-0.53)
Stuttgart 14.62% (-1.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.07% (-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.9% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 39.1% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 38.57% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 61.42% (-0.12)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 89.06% (+0.46)
Under 0.5 10.93% (-0.47)
Over 1.5 64.86% (+1.02)
Under 1.5 35.13% (-1.02)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5 60.7% (-1.42)
Under 0.5 39.29% (+1.41)
Over 1.5 24% (-1.35)
Under 1.5 75.99% (+1.34)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 66.4%
Draw 18.97%
Stuttgart 14.62%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-0 @ 10.52% (+0.34)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 9.51% (+0.14)
3-0 @ 7.76% (+0.40)
3-1 @ 7.25% (+0.10)
4-0 @ 4.3% (+0.30)
4-1 @ 4.01% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.09)
5-0 @ 1.9% (+0.17)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.78% (+0.09)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 66.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.21)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.97%
Stuttgart
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.27)
0-1 @ 4.01% (-0.18)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.14)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 14.62%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 12, 2022 5.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Moussa Diaby 41' goal
  • Kerem Demirbay 45' yellowcard
  • Amine Adli 52' goal
  • Robert Andrich 63' yellowcard
  • Mitchel Bakker 83' yellowcard
  • Florian Wirtz 86' goal
  • Patrik Schick 90' goal
  • goal Tiago Tomas 49'
  • yellowcard Wataru Endo 51'
  • goal Tiago Tomas 88'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Mavropanos 90'+4'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2021 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Orel Mangala 38' goal
  • Atakan Karazor 63' yellowcard
  • Tanguy Coulibaly 76' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Andrich 2'
  • goal Patrik Schick 19'
  • redcard Robert Andrich 32'
  • yellowcard Jeremie Frimpong 36'
  • yellowcard Mitchel Bakker 37'
  • yellowcard Charles Aranguiz 58'
  • goal Florian Wirtz 70'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
5
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kerem Demirbay 18' goal
  • Kerem Demirbay 31' goal
  • Leon Bailey 56' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 68' goal
  • Demarai Gray 84' goal
  • goal Sasa Kalajdzic 50'
  • goal Sasa Kalajdzic 77'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Oct 3, 2020 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
  • Marc-Oliver Kempf 69' yellowcard
  • Roberto Massimo 75' yellowcard
  • Sasa Kalajdzic 76' goal
  • Wataru Endo 89' yellowcard
  • goal Patrik Schick 7'
  • yellowcard Karim Bellarabi 75'
  • yellowcard Charles Aranguiz 89'
DFB-Pokal
Feb 5, 2020 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mitchell Weiser 30' yellowcard
  • Fabian Bredlow 72' goal
  • Lucas Alario 83' goal
  • Lukas Hradecky 86' yellowcard
  • goal Silla Wamangituka 85'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Castro 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2019 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena (Stuttgart)
  • Andreas Beck 43' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ascacibar 90' redcard
  • goal Kai Havertz 64'