Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Nov 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
1 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Schmitz (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Amiri (65'), Diaby (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 FC Koln
Sunday, November 6 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, November 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 54.54%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
54.54% ( -0.01)	22.51% ( -0.13)	22.95% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 57.61% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.05% (

0.73)

41.95% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.64% (

0.73)

64.35% (

-0.73)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.68% (

0.25)

15.32% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.93% (

0.47)

44.06% (

-0.47)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04% (

0.53)

31.96% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.58% (

0.6)

68.41% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 54.54%

Bayer Leverkusen 22.95%

Draw 22.5%

FC Koln	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.54%	1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.5%	1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 22.95%