Bundesliga Gameweek 14
FC Koln
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Benno Schmitz 30' goal
  • goal Nadiem Amiri 65'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 71'

FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions
Last game
Nov 6, 2022 4.30pm
Freiburg 2 - 0 FC Koln
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Ellyes Skhiri

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Nov 6, 2022 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen 5 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Moussa Diaby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 54.54%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match.

Result

FC Koln 54.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 22.51% ▼ (-0.13)
Bayer Leverkusen 22.95% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.61% ▲ (+0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.05% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 2.5 41.95% ▼ (-0.73)
Over 3.5 35.64% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 3.5 64.35% ▼ (-0.73)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5 84.68% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 0.5 15.32% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 1.5 55.93% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 1.5 44.06% ▼ (-0.47)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 68.04% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 0.5 31.96% ▼ (-0.53)
Over 1.5 31.58% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 1.5 68.41% ▼ (-0.61)

Score analysis

FC Koln 54.54%
Draw 22.5%
Bayer Leverkusen 22.95%
FC Koln
2-1 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.23)
2-0 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 54.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.47% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.5%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 22.95%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 26
B. Leverkusen
Mar 13, 2022 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
FC Koln
  • Exequiel Palacios 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kerem Demirbay 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ellyes Skhiri 52'
  • yellowcard Benno Schmitz 65'
  • goal Kingsley Schindler 67'
Bundesliga Gameweek 9
FC Koln
Oct 24, 2021 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Mark Uth 36' yellowcard
  • Anthony Modeste 63' goal
  • Anthony Modeste 82' goal
  • goal Patrik Schick 15'
  • goal Karim Bellarabi 17'
  • yellowcard Kerem Demirbay 43'
  • yellowcard Moussa Diaby 65'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 89'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
B. Leverkusen
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
FC Koln
  • Leon Bailey 5' goal
  • Edmond Tapsoba 40' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 51' goal
  • Leon Bailey 76' goal
  • yellowcard Rafael Czichos 90'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
FC Koln
Dec 16, 2020 7.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
B. Leverkusen
  • Jannes Horn 34' yellowcard
  • goal Mitchell Weiser 8'
  • goal Moussa Diaby 10'
  • goal Patrik Schick 54'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Dragovic 54'
  • goal Florian Wirtz 59'
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
B. Leverkusen
Jun 17, 2020 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT BayArena
FC Koln
  • Sven Bender 7' goal
  • Charles Aranguiz 29' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 40' goal
  • Aleksandar Dragovic 45' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 83' goal
  • yellowcard Rafael Czichos 21'
  • goal Sebastiaan Bornauw 59'
  • yellowcard Toni Leistner 65'
Bundesliga Gameweek 15
FC Koln
Dec 14, 2019 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT RheinEnergieStadion (Köln)
B. Leverkusen
  • Jan Thielmann 39' yellowcard
  • Jhon Cordoba 73' goal
  • Kingsley Ehizibue 77' yellowcard
  • Sebastiaan Bornauw 84' goal
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 41'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Dragovic 42'
  • redcard Aleksandar Dragovic 62'
  • redcard Leon Bailey 78'

Form Data

Freiburg 2 - 0 FC Koln
FC Koln 2 - 2 Nice
FC Koln 1 - 1 Hoffenheim
Slovacko 0 - 1 FC Koln
Mainz 5 - 0 FC Koln
FC Koln 3 - 2 Augsburg
B. Leverkusen 5 - 0 Union Berlin
B. Leverkusen 0 - 0 Brugge
RB Leipzig 2 - 0 B. Leverkusen
Atletico 2 - 2 B. Leverkusen
B. Leverkusen 2 - 2 Wolfsburg
Frankfurt 5 - 1 B. Leverkusen