Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Danilho Doekhi 44'
  • goal Paul Seguin 67'

Hertha Berlin vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2023 7.30pm
Hertha Berlin 0 - 5 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dodi Lukebakio

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
Werder Bremen 1 - 2 Union Berlin
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Sheraldo Becker

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result

Hertha Berlin 30.2% (+0.08)
Draw 25.64% (+0.06)
Union Berlin 44.16% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.69% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.9% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 50.09% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 27.93% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 72.06% (+0.16)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 69.39% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 30.61% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 33.15% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 66.84% (+0.05)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 77.38% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 22.62% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 43.75% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 56.24% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Hertha Berlin 30.2%
Draw 25.63%
Union Berlin 44.16%
Hertha Berlin
1-0 @ 8.2% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.21% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.85% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.92% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 30.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.92% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.63%
Union Berlin
0-1 @ 10.29% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.65% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.49% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.79% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 44.16%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Theoson Siebatcheu 32' goal
  • Robin Knoche 35' yellowcard
  • Sheraldo Becker 50' goal
  • Robin Knoche 54' goal
  • Jamie Leweling 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Filip Uremovic 52'
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 77'
  • goal Dodi Lukebakio 85'
  • yellowcard Dodi Lukebakio 87'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2022 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marcel Lotka 13' yellowcard
  • Stevan Jovetic 20' yellowcard
  • Timo Baumgartl 49' goal
  • Marc-Oliver Kempf 61' yellowcard
  • Lucas Tousart 65' yellowcard
  • goal Genki Haraguchi 31'
  • goal Grischa Promel 53'
  • goal Sheraldo Becker 74'
  • goal Sven Michel 85'
DFB-Pokal
Jan 19, 2022 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Suat Serdar 15' yellowcard
  • Sami Khedira 54' goal
  • Suat Serdar 90'+5' goal
  • goal Andreas Voglsammer 11'
  • yellowcard Levin Oztunali 43'
  • goal Niklas Stark 50' (OG)
  • goal Robin Knoche 55'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Nov 20, 2021 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Taiwo Awoniyi 8' goal
  • Christopher Trimmel 30' goal
  • Grischa Promel 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Suat Serdar 38'
Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Apr 4, 2021 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Robert Andrich 10' goal
  • Julian Ryerson 17' yellowcard
  • Grischa Promel 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matteo Guendouzi 28'
  • goal Dodi Lukebakio 35'
  • yellowcard Lucas Tousart 45'
  • yellowcard Jordan Torunarigha 53'
  • yellowcard Santiago Ascacibar 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 10
Dec 4, 2020 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Peter Pekarik 51' goal
  • Krzysztof Piatek 74' goal
  • Krzysztof Piatek 77' goal
  • Matheus Cunha 84' yellowcard
  • goal Taiwo Awoniyi 20'
  • redcard Robert Andrich 24'
  • yellowcard Christopher Trimmel 36'
  • yellowcard Julian Ryerson 52'
  • yellowcard Christopher Lenz 64'