Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.