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VfL Bochum
Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
Hertha Berlin logo

VfL Bochum
3 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Hofmann (22', 56'), Schlotterbeck (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Serdar (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.

Result
VfL BochumDrawHertha Berlin
40.8% (-1.011 -1.01)25.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.88% (1.007 1.01)
Both teams to score 56.21% (0.3 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.53% (0.259 0.26)47.47% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.31% (0.238 0.24)69.68% (-0.244 -0.24)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89% (-0.384 -0.38)23.1% (0.38 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.04% (-0.566 -0.57)56.96% (0.559 0.56)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.09% (0.747 0.75)26.9% (-0.753 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.77% (0.972 0.97)62.22% (-0.978 -0.98)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 40.8%
    Hertha Berlin 33.88%
    Draw 25.3%
VfL BochumDrawHertha Berlin
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 40.8%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.083 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 5.36% (0.166 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.14 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.075 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.35% (0.12 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 33.88%

How you voted: VfL Bochum vs Hertha Berlin

VfL Bochum
74.2%
Draw
16.1%
Hertha Berlin
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2022 7.30pm
Sep 12, 2021 4.30pm
VfL Bochum
1-3
Hertha Berlin
Zoller (59')
Serdar (37', 43'), Maolida (78')
Tousart (47'), Mittelstadt (54'), Zeefuik (75')
rhs 2.0


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