Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Philipp Hofmann 22' goal
  • Keven Schlotterbeck 44' goal
  • Philipp Hofmann 56' goal
  • goal Suat Serdar 87'

VfL Bochum vs Hertha Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Augsburg 0 - 1 VfL Bochum
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Philipp Hofmann

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Hertha Berlin 2 - 0 FC Koln
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dodi Lukebakio

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.

Result

VfL Bochum 40.8% (-1.02)
Draw 25.31% (-0.01)
Hertha Berlin 33.88% (+1.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.21% (+0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.53% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 47.47% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 30.31% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 69.68% (-0.25)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5 76.89% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 23.1% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 43.04% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 56.96% (+0.56)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 73.09% (+0.75)
Under 0.5 26.9% (-0.76)
Over 1.5 37.77% (+0.98)
Under 1.5 62.22% (-0.98)

Score analysis

VfL Bochum 40.8%
Draw 25.3%
Hertha Berlin 33.88%
VfL Bochum
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.21)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 6.67% (-0.23)
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.07)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 40.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.75% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.23% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.3%
Hertha Berlin
0-1 @ 8.16% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 7.85% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 5.36% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.44% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.52% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.35% (+0.13)
1-4 @ 1.13% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 33.88%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 4, 2022 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ishak Belfodil 23' goal
  • Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 56' yellowcard
  • Maximilian Mittelstadt 84' yellowcard
  • Marco Richter 86' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Polter 48'
  • yellowcard Armel Bella-Kotchap 85'
Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 12, 2021 4.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Simon Zoller 59' goal
  • goal Suat Serdar 37'
  • goal Suat Serdar 43'
  • yellowcard Lucas Tousart 47'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Mittelstadt 54'
  • yellowcard Deyovaisio Zeefuik 75'
  • goal Myziane Maolida 78'