Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Nov 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Olympic Stadium

Hertha Berlin
2 - 3
Bayern

Lukebakio (40'), Selke (45' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-3)

Musiala (12'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (37', 38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-0 Hertha Berlin
Friday, October 28 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 79.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 8.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-3 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.59%) and 1-2 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.56%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Hertha Berlin	Draw	Bayern Munich
8.63% ( -0.07)	11.8% ( 0.03)	79.57% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 63.25% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

80.79% (

-0.45)

19.21% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

63.04% (

-0.66)

36.96% (

0.66)

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.75% (

-0.56)

34.25% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.05% (

-0.61)

70.95% (

0.61)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.2% (

-0.08)

3.8% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.78% (

-0.26)

16.22% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Hertha Berlin 8.63%

Bayern Munich 79.57%

Draw 11.8%

Hertha Berlin	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.37% Total : 8.63%	1-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.39% Total : 11.8%	1-3 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 7.59% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 6.65% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 6.2% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 4.35% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.13) 0-5 @ 4.06% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 3.56% ( -0.07) 1-6 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 2-5 @ 2.33% ( -0.06) 0-6 @ 2.21% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 2-6 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 1-7 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 0-7 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.42% Total : 79.57%