MX23RW : Saturday, May 4 02:15:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Koln logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
SV Darmstadt
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Hoffenheim logo

Union Berlin
3 - 1
Hoffenheim

Doekhi (73', 89'), Leweling (90+6')
Giesselmann (45+2'), Seguin (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bebou (43')
Kabak (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Hoffenheim

With both sides in need of a win after a poor run before the break, Union's superb home form may be what gets them over the line here. With a squad of players so capable in attack, Hoffenheim have the ability to get a result, but their inconsistency means it is impossible to know what to expect from them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
51.86% (-1.274 -1.27) 24.35% (0.212 0.21) 23.78% (1.064 1.06)
Both teams to score 52.56% (0.592 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.173 0.17)49.12% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.157 0.16)71.19% (-0.154 -0.15)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (-0.426 -0.43)18.92% (0.429 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (-0.717 -0.72)50.42% (0.72 0.72)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83% (1.068 1.07)35.17% (-1.065 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07% (1.097 1.1)71.92% (-1.096 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 51.85%
    Hoffenheim 23.78%
    Draw 24.35%
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.22% (-0.322 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 51.85%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.151 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.222 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.63% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.135 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 23.78%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim

Union Berlin
80.4%
Draw
11.8%
Hoffenheim
7.8%
51
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
Hoffenheim
Voglsammer (22'), Promel (73')
Baumgartl (16' og.)
Akpoguma (28'), Dabour (45+1'), Geiger (85')
Aug 22, 2021 2.30pm
Feb 28, 2021 12.30pm
Nov 2, 2020 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
1-3
Union Berlin
Dabour (80')
Baumgartner (90')
Skov (58')
Kruse (60' pen.), Pohjanpalo (85'), Teuchert (90+4')
Luthe (63'), Griesbeck (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Swiatek
Sabalenka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Hoffenheim32117145664-840
8Freiburg31117134355-1240
9Augsburg31109124852-439
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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