Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 16

Jan 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
3 - 1
Hoffenheim

Doekhi (73', 89'), Leweling (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bebou (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 4-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, November 13 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Hoffenheim
51.86% ( -1.27)	24.35% ( 0.21)	23.78% ( 1.06)

Both teams to score 52.56% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.88% (

0.17)

49.12% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.81% (

0.16)

71.19% (

-0.15)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.08% (

-0.43)

18.92% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.58% (

-0.72)

50.42% (

0.72)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.83% (

1.07)

35.17% (

-1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.07% (

1.1)

71.92% (

-1.1)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 51.85%

Hoffenheim 23.78%

Draw 24.35%

Union Berlin	Draw	Hoffenheim
1-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 51.85%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.35%	0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.02% Total : 23.78%