MX23RW : Saturday, December 14 12:47:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
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Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Hoffenheim logo

Union Berlin
3 - 1
Hoffenheim

Doekhi (73', 89'), Leweling (90+6')
Giesselmann (45+2'), Seguin (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bebou (43')
Kabak (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Hoffenheim

With both sides in need of a win after a poor run before the break, Union's superb home form may be what gets them over the line here. With a squad of players so capable in attack, Hoffenheim have the ability to get a result, but their inconsistency means it is impossible to know what to expect from them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
51.86% (-1.274 -1.27) 24.35% (0.212 0.21) 23.78% (1.064 1.06)
Both teams to score 52.56% (0.592 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.173 0.17)49.12% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.157 0.16)71.19% (-0.154 -0.15)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (-0.426 -0.43)18.92% (0.429 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (-0.717 -0.72)50.42% (0.72 0.72)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83% (1.068 1.07)35.17% (-1.065 -1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07% (1.097 1.1)71.92% (-1.096 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 51.85%
    Hoffenheim 23.78%
    Draw 24.35%
Union BerlinDrawHoffenheim
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.22% (-0.322 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 51.85%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.151 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.222 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.63% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.135 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 23.78%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim

Union Berlin
80.4%
Draw
11.8%
Hoffenheim
7.8%
51
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
Hoffenheim
Voglsammer (22'), Promel (73')
Baumgartl (16' og.)
Akpoguma (28'), Dabour (45+1'), Geiger (85')
Aug 22, 2021 2.30pm
Feb 28, 2021 12.30pm
Nov 2, 2020 7.30pm
Hoffenheim
1-3
Union Berlin
Dabour (80')
Baumgartner (90')
Skov (58')
Kruse (60' pen.), Pohjanpalo (85'), Teuchert (90+4')
Luthe (63'), Griesbeck (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Freiburg147342019124
6Wolfsburg146353125621
7Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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