/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmailog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
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Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
17'
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Jamal Musiala
30'
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Leroy Sane
44'
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Alphonso Davies
83'
Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.07%) and 1-3 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result
Mainz 05
14.13%
▲
(+0.09)
Draw
16.45%
▲
(+0.12)
Bayern Munich
69.42%
▼
(-0.21)
Both Teams to Score:
62.75%
▼
(-0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
72.39%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 2.5
27.61%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 3.5
51.74%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 3.5
48.26%
▲
(+0.50)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
67.64%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 0.5
32.36%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 1.5
31.12%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
68.88%
▲
(+0.20)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
92.77%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
7.23%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
73.79%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
26.21%
▲
(+0.36)
Score analysis
Mainz 05
14.13%
Draw
16.45%
Bayern Munich
69.42%
Mainz 05
2-1
@
3.91%
▲
(+0.04)
1-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 14.13%
1-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 14.13%
Draw
1-1
@
6.93%
▲
(+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.45%
2-2 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.34% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 16.45%
Bayern Munich
1-2
@
9.11%
▲
(+0.05)
0-2 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.11)
1-4 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.05)
1-5 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.05)
0-5 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.03)
2-5 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.04)
1-6 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
3-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
0-6 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 69.42%
0-2 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 7.98% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.11)
1-4 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.05)
0-4 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.05)
1-5 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.05)
0-5 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.03)
2-5 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.04)
1-6 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
3-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
0-6 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 69.42%
Joshua Kimmich
43'