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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Bayern logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Bayern

Halstenberg (52')
Schlager (41'), Laimer (71'), Rose (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (37')
Musiala (35'), Goretzka (52'), Upamecano (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 4-4 Salzburg
Friday, January 13 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: RB Leipzig 2-3 Bayern Munich

On the return of German football, this has the potential to be one of the games of the season, but both sides have injury worries concerning some very important players. Bayern often have the edge over Leipzig having only lost to them once since the Red Bull-owned club were promoted in 2016, and a win here would be huge for their title credentials. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 18.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.11%) and 1-3 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
18.11% (-0.511 -0.51) 18.96% (0.653 0.65) 62.93% (-0.147 -0.15)
Both teams to score 62.52% (-3.7 -3.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.02% (-4.205 -4.21)31.97% (4.202 4.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.46% (-5.078 -5.08)53.53% (5.075 5.08)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-3.127 -3.13)30.7% (3.123 3.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (-3.852 -3.85)66.96% (3.85 3.85)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.22% (-1.219 -1.22)9.77% (1.214 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.49% (-2.908 -2.91)32.5% (2.903 2.9)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 18.11%
    Bayern Munich 62.93%
    Draw 18.96%
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.87% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 3.54% (0.503 0.5)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.313 -0.31)
2-0 @ 2.09% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 18.11%
1-1 @ 8.24% (0.766 0.77)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 3% (0.64 0.64)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.355 -0.36)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 18.96%
1-2 @ 9.58% (0.394 0.39)
0-2 @ 8.11% (0.982 0.98)
1-3 @ 7.43% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.98% (1.176 1.18)
0-3 @ 6.29% (0.445 0.44)
2-3 @ 4.39% (-0.463 -0.46)
1-4 @ 4.32% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-4 @ 3.66% (0.065 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.55% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-5 @ 2.01% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-5 @ 1.7% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-5 @ 1.19% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-4 @ 1% (-0.276 -0.28)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 62.93%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Bayern

RB Leipzig
19.9%
Draw
14.4%
Bayern Munich
65.7%
277
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 7.30pm
Final
RB Leipzig
3-5
Bayern
Halstenberg (59'), Nkunku (77' pen.), Olmo (89')
Simakan (36'), Klostermann (90+2')
Musiala (14'), Mane (31'), Pavard (45'), Gnabry (66'), Sane (90+8')
Kimmich (64'), Hernandez (73'), Pavard (76'), Sane (87'), Neuer (90+7')
Feb 5, 2022 5.30pm
Bayern
3-2
RB Leipzig
Muller (12'), Lewandowski (44'), Gvardiol (58' og.)
Hernandez (22')
Silva (27'), Nkunku (53')
Laimer (45+1'), Nkunku (63'), Henrichs (74')
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
Apr 3, 2021 5.30pm
Dec 5, 2020 5.30pm
Bayern
3-3
RB Leipzig
Musiala (30'), Muller (34', 75')
Nkunku (19'), Kluivert (36'), Forsberg (48')
Mukiele (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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