Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Nov 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
RB Leipzig

Gross (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Silva (13'), Schlager (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 6-1 Werder Bremen
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	RB Leipzig
23.82% ( 0.1)	21.65% ( -0.02)	54.53% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 61.8% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.07% (

0.19)

36.93% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.89% (

0.21)

59.11% (

-0.2)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.53% (

0.18)

28.47% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.77% (

0.23)

64.24% (

-0.22)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.4% (

0.05)

13.6% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.27% (

0.09)

40.74% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 23.82%

RB Leipzig 54.53%

Draw 21.65%

Werder Bremen	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 23.82%	1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.65%	1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 54.53%