Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for RB Leipzig in this match.