Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Nov 8, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
6 - 1
Werder Bremen

Musiala (6'), Gnabry (22', 28', 82'), Goretzka (26'), Tel (84')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Jung (10')

Reaction

Bayern Munich's Sadio Mane after being substituted due to injury as coach Julian Nagelsmann looks on on November 8, 2022

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Senegal talisman Sadio Mane suffers an injury scare for Bayern Munich less than two weeks ahead of the start of their World Cup campaign.

Nov 8, 19:55

The Match

Match Report

Serge Gnabry scores a hat-trick as Bayern Munich move four points clear at the top of the Bundesliga courtesy of a 6-1 drubbing of Werder Bremen.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-3 Bayern
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Schalke
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 80.79%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 7.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Werder Bremen
80.79% ( -1.61)	11.89% ( 0.99)	7.32% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 54.8% (

-1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.74% (

-2.88)

25.26% (

2.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.75% (

-3.85)

45.25% (

3.86)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.25% (

-0.76)

4.75% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.78% (

-2.39)

19.22% (

2.4)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.53% (

-0.9)

42.47% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.16% (

-0.79)

78.84% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 80.79%

Werder Bremen 7.32%

Draw 11.89%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Werder Bremen
3-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.76) 3-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.47) 4-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.33) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.81) 5-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.38) 5-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.43) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.21) 6-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.34) 6-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.34) 5-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.23) 7-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.21) Other @ 5.05% Total : 80.79%	1-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 11.89%	1-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 7.32%