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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.55%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 7.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-3 with a probability of 7.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.36%) and 1-2 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.98%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 2-1 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Schalke 04 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
7.7% ( 0.94) | 10.75% ( 1.29) | 81.55% ( -2.23) |
Both teams to score 64% ( -2.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
83.11% ( -3.44) | 16.88% ( 3.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
66.48% ( -5.39) | 33.51% ( 5.4) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.07% ( -1.6) | 33.92% ( 1.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.4% ( -1.77) | 70.6% ( 1.77) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.86% ( -0.8) | 3.14% ( 0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
86% ( -2.9) | 14% ( 2.9) |
Score Analysis |
Schalke 04 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.3) Other @ 3.06% Total : 7.7% | 1-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.78) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.42% Total : 10.75% | 1-3 @ 7.96% ( 0.42) 0-3 @ 7.36% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.88) 1-4 @ 6.89% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 1.05) 0-4 @ 6.37% ( 0.1) 1-5 @ 4.77% ( -0.55) 0-5 @ 4.41% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 3.72% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.85) 1-6 @ 2.75% ( -0.58) 2-5 @ 2.58% ( -0.43) 0-6 @ 2.54% ( -0.41) 2-6 @ 1.49% ( -0.4) 1-7 @ 1.36% ( -0.43) 3-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.16) 0-7 @ 1.26% ( -0.33) 3-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.2) Other @ 4.58% Total : 81.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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