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Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
BayArena
VfL Bochum

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
VfL Bochum

Tapsoba (8' pen.), Hlozek (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 67.75%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 13.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawVfL Bochum
67.75% (0.55799999999999 0.56)18.92% (-0.182 -0.18)13.32% (-0.379 -0.38)
Both teams to score 50.63% (-0.457 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.17% (-0.058 -0.06)41.83% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.77% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)64.23% (0.053999999999988 0.05)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.64% (0.13 0.13)11.36% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.93% (0.287 0.29)36.06% (-0.29 -0.29)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.12% (-0.60100000000001 -0.6)42.88% (0.598 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.81% (-0.515 -0.52)79.19% (0.51299999999999 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 67.75%
    VfL Bochum 13.32%
    Draw 18.92%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawVfL Bochum
2-0 @ 11.52% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 10.59% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.35% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 7.07% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.54% (0.107 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.85% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.98% (0.056 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.67% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 67.75%
1-1 @ 8.97% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 18.92%
0-1 @ 4.12% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 3.8% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 13.32%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum

Bayer Leverkusen
82.6%
Draw
12.0%
VfL Bochum
5.4%
92
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 2.30pm
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
1-0
VfL Bochum
Adli (4')
Frimpong (30'), Diaby (49'), Adli (87')

Masovic (63'), Soares (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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