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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 22, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Borussia-Park
Leverkusen logo

Borussia M'bach
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Stindl (82', 90+3')
Kone (44'), Weigl (89'), Stindl (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bakker (21'), Adli (43'), Amiri (67')
Bakker (90+6'), Sinkgraven (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-3 Rangers
Saturday, December 10 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen

There are goals in both sides, but Gladbach's defensive deficiencies will only be worsened by losing Sommer. Leverkusen love playing Gladbach and will hope to start 2023 with a victory to move further up the table, but it is tough to separate the sides on paper. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 52.7%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.93%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayer Leverkusen
52.7% (-0.499 -0.5) 21.53% (0.0040000000000013 0) 25.77% (0.495 0.5)
Both teams to score 64.49% (0.524 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.63% (0.458 0.46)34.36% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.72% (0.512 0.51)56.28% (-0.513 -0.51)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.71% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)13.29% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.88% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)40.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.38% (0.601 0.6)25.62% (-0.601 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.49% (0.81 0.81)60.51% (-0.809 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Monchengladbach 52.7%
    Bayer Leverkusen 25.77%
    Draw 21.53%
Borussia MonchengladbachDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-0 @ 6.87% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.18% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 52.7%
1-1 @ 9.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.072 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.96% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 25.77%

How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs B. Leverkusen

Borussia Monchengladbach
55.7%
Draw
22.7%
Bayer Leverkusen
21.6%
97
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
Borussia M'bach
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Elvedi (81')
Stindl (45+1'), Beyer (83')
Andrich (51'), Schick (74')
Tah (28'), Bakker (36'), Demirbay (90+4')
Aug 21, 2021 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen
4-0
Borussia M'bach
Sommer (3' og.), Schick (8'), Diaby (55'), Amiri (87')
Demirbay (34'), Bakker (41'), Paulinho (48'), Diaby (90+1')

Kramer (75'), Wolf (76')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Nov 8, 2020 5pm
B. Leverkusen
4-3
Borussia M'bach
Alario (27', 41'), Bailey (68'), Baumgartlinger (82')
Hradecky (18'), Bender (51'), Wirtz (84'), Diaby (86')
Stindl (18' pen., 29'), Lazaro (90+4')
Bensebaini (45+4'), Embolo (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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