Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Rhein-Neckar-Arena

Hoffenheim
1 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Nsoki (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Andrich (6'), Diaby (46'), Hlozek (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 5-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 B. Leverkusen
Friday, February 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
45.22% ( 0.07)	23.81% ( -0.02)	30.97% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 60.31% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.39% (

0.05)

41.61% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.98% (

0.05)

64.01% (

-0.05)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.35% (

0.05)

18.65% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.03% (

0.09)

49.97% (

-0.09)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.14% (

-0.01)

25.86% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.16% (

-0.02)

60.84% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 45.22%

Bayer Leverkusen 30.97%

Draw 23.81%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 45.22%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.81%	1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.97%