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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 52.31% ( | 22% ( | 25.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.28% ( | 36.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.12% ( | 58.88% ( |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.77% ( | 14.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.02% ( | 41.98% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( | 26.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.74% ( | 62.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 3-1 @ 6.21% ( 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 4-1 @ 3.03% ( 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 5-1 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 4.47% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 3-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 1-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.69% |