Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.79%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.