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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 39.6% | 25.19% | 35.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.31% ( | 46.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( | 68.96% |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% | 23.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% | 57.33% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.25% ( | 25.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.31% ( | 60.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.6% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 8.16% 1-2 @ 8.05% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 3.64% 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.43% Total : 35.2% |