Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.