DFB-Pokal
Feb 1, 2023 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Emil Forsberg 8' goal
  • Konrad Laimer 41' goal
  • Timo Werner 83' goal
  • goal Kasper Dolberg 76'

RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.

Result

RB Leipzig 47.59% (-0.36)
Draw 22.92% (+0.15)
Hoffenheim 29.49% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.64% (-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.84% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 38.15% (+0.56)
Over 3.5 39.57% (-0.60)
Under 3.5 60.43% (+0.60)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 83.61% (-0.35)
Under 0.5 16.38% (+0.35)
Over 1.5 53.98% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 46.01% (+0.63)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 74.92% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 25.08% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 40.23% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 59.76% (+0.21)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 47.59%
Draw 22.91%
Hoffenheim 29.49%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.43% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 6.72% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 47.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 6.43% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.11% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.91%
Hoffenheim
1-2 @ 7.11% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.68% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 3.93% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.28% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.81% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.49%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Georginio Rutter 50' goal
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 17'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 57'
  • goal Dani Olmo 69'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 10, 2022 6.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Christopher Nkunku 5' goal
  • Marcel Halstenberg 20' goal
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 44' goal
  • Nordi Mukiele 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pavel Kaderabek 71'
  • yellowcard Chris Richards 77'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Diadie Samassekou 12' goal
  • Florian Grillitsch 42' yellowcard
  • Moanes Dabour 68' goal
  • Havard Nordtveit 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andre Silva 35'
  • yellowcard Angelino 84'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2021 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Stefan Posch 46'
  • yellowcard Christoph Baumgartner 79'
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Dec 16, 2020 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kevin Vogt 50' yellowcard
  • Ryan Sessegnon 56' yellowcard
  • goal Yussuf Poulsen 60'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Jun 12, 2020 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT PreZero Arena
  • Diadie Samassekou 3' yellowcard
  • Steven Zuber 33' yellowcard
  • goal Dani Olmo 9'
  • goal Dani Olmo 11'
  • yellowcard Lukas Klostermann 26'
  • yellowcard Christopher Nkunku 75'