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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.72%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 14.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 67.72% ( | 17.96% ( | 14.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.18% ( | 34.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.21% ( | 56.79% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.56% | 9.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.29% | 31.71% ( |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.05% ( | 36.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% ( | 73.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 2-1 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 3-0 @ 7.64% ( 3-1 @ 7.61% 4-0 @ 4.51% ( 4-1 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 4-2 @ 2.24% ( 5-0 @ 2.13% ( 5-1 @ 2.12% 5-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 4.51% Total : 67.72% | 1-1 @ 8.19% 2-2 @ 4.82% 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.96% | 1-2 @ 4.08% 0-1 @ 3.47% 0-2 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 1-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 14.32% |