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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.72%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 14.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Stuttgart |
67.72% ( 0) | 17.96% ( 0) | 14.32% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 57.1% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.18% ( -0) | 34.82% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.21% ( -0.01) | 56.79% ( 0.01) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.56% | 9.44% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.29% | 31.71% ( 0) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.05% ( -0.01) | 36.94% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.27% ( -0.01) | 73.73% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.67% 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.64% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.61% 4-0 @ 4.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.12% 5-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 4.51% Total : 67.72% | 1-1 @ 8.19% 2-2 @ 4.82% 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.96% | 1-2 @ 4.08% 0-1 @ 3.47% 0-2 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 14.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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