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Bundesliga

Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 24, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
Leipzig logo

Schalke
1 - 6
RB Leipzig

Kozuki (56')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Silva (7', 44'), Henrichs (15'), Werner (45+2'), Olmo (83'), Poulsen (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Schalke 04

All competitions
Last Game: Frankfurt 3-0 Schalke
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-1 Bayern
Friday, January 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 15.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 2-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawRB Leipzig
15.02%18.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)66.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.67% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.05% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)34.95% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.07% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)56.93% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.28% (0.0040000000000049 0)9.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.64% (0.007000000000005 0.01)32.36% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 15.02%
    RB Leipzig 66.68%
    Draw 18.3%
Schalke 04DrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 4.24%
1-0 @ 3.57%
2-0 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.68%
3-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 15.02%
1-1 @ 8.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
0-0 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 18.3%
1-2 @ 9.71%
0-2 @ 9.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 8.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 7.55%
0-3 @ 7.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 4.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 4.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 2.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-5 @ 1.05%
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 66.68%

How you voted: Schalke vs RB Leipzig

Schalke 04
11.5%
Draw
10.1%
RB Leipzig
78.4%
148
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
Schalke
0-3
RB Leipzig

Mascarell (27'), Kolasinac (69')
Mukiele (45+3'), Sabitzer (73'), Orban (87')
Sabitzer (82')
Oct 3, 2020 5.30pm
RB Leipzig
4-0
Schalke
Bozdogan (31' og.), Angelino (35'), Orban (45+2'), Halstenberg (80' pen.)
Sorloth (84')

Sane (64'), Nastasic (79'), Ibisevic (90+2')
Feb 22, 2020 5.30pm
Schalke
0-5
RB Leipzig

Raman (3'), Harit (43')
Sabitzer (1'), Werner (61'), Halstenberg (68'), Angelino (80'), Forsberg (89')
Laimer (5'), Werner (57'), Upamecano (78')
Sep 28, 2019 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-3
Schalke
Forsberg (83')
Halstenberg (45')
Sane (29'), Harit (43' pen.), Matondo (58')
Caligiuri (86')
Mar 16, 2019 2.30pm
Schalke
0-1
RB Leipzig

Oczipka (89')
Werner (14')
Halstenberg (52')