Europa League
Feb 16, 2023 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Moussa Diaby 48' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 59' goal
  • goal Lukas Hradecky 9' (OG)
  • goal Krepin Diatta 74'
  • goal Axel Disasi 90'+2'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Monaco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Monaco

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 48.81% (+0.12)
Draw 24.62% (-0.01)
Monaco 26.58% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.5% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.11% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 47.89% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 29.93% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 70.07% (+0.06)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 80.33% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 19.67% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 48.35% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 51.65% (-0.04)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5 67.84% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 32.16% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 31.35% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 68.65% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 48.8%
Draw 24.61%
Monaco 26.58%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 10.28% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.49% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.36% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.14% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.53% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.84% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 48.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 6.33% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.61%
Monaco
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.62% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 26.58%

Head to Head

Champions League
Dec 7, 2016 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Vladlen Yurchenko 30' goal
  • Julian Brandt 49' goal
  • Morgan De Sanctis 83' goal
  • Aleksandar Dragovic 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jemerson 24'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Boschilia 41'
  • yellowcard Valere Germain 88'
Champions League
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jemerson 50' yellowcard
  • Kamil Glik 94' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 19'
  • yellowcard Omer Toprak 50'
  • goal Javier Hernandez 73'
Champions League
Nov 26, 2014 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Emir Spahic 26' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Carvalho 42'
  • goal Lucas Ariel Ocampos 72'
Champions League
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yannick Ferreira Carrasco 29' yellowcard
  • Layvin Kurzawa 45' yellowcard
  • Joao Moutinho 61' goal
  • yellowcard Sebastian Boenisch 65'
  • yellowcard Emir Spahic 74'