Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19

Jan 15, 2023 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Louis II

Monaco
7 - 1
Ajaccio

Disasi (2'), Diatta (6'), Ben Yedder (21', 28', 35' pen.), Embolo (63', 89')

FT(HT: 5-1)

Belaili (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lorient 2-2 Monaco
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ajaccio

All competitions

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-1 Reims
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Ajaccio
60.49% ( 0.07)	23.02% ( 0.02)	16.49% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 45.46% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.18% (

-0.23)

52.82% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.56% (

-0.2)

74.44% (

0.2)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.9% (

-0.06)

17.1% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.7% (

-0.1)

47.3% (

0.1)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.84% (

-0.26)

45.16% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.94% (

-0.21)

81.06% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Monaco 60.48%

Ajaccio 16.49%

Draw 23.02%

Monaco	Draw	Ajaccio
1-0 @ 13.63% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 60.48%	1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.02%	0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.45% Total : 16.49%