Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Ajaccio |
60.49% (![]() | 23.02% (![]() | 16.49% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.46% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.18% (![]() | 52.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.56% (![]() | 74.44% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.9% (![]() | 17.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.7% (![]() | 47.3% (![]() |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.84% (![]() | 45.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.94% (![]() | 81.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 13.63% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.04% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.57% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.09% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.11% 4-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.55% Total : 60.48% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.81% ( ![]() Other @ 0.65% Total : 23.02% | 0-1 @ 6.14% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.44% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 1.45% Total : 16.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 38 | 12 | 26 | 36 |
2 | Nice | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 32 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Brest | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 25 |
6 | Marseille | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 23 |
8 | Reims | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 23 |
9 | NantesNantes | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 17 |
11 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Metz | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 16 |
13 | Rennes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 15 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Toulouse | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Lorient | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 12 |
17 | Clermont | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 11 |
18 | Lyon | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |