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Clermont Foot
Le Havre
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Lille
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Lyon
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Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
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Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Louis II
AC Ajaccio
Monaco
7 - 1
Ajaccio
Disasi (2'), Diatta (6'), Ben Yedder (21', 28', 35' pen.), Embolo (63', 89')
Camara (20')
FT(HT: 5-1)
Belaili (11')
Diallo (33'), Mangani (46')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lorient 2-2 Monaco
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-1 Reims
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 2-0 Ajaccio

Monaco have been rather ropey in the last week, but they should be able to show off their credentials here against a struggling Ajaccio side. The visitors are without a number of first-team players and are finding it difficult to score goals so it could be a long afternoon for the Corsican side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawAjaccio
60.49% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 23.02% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 16.49% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 45.46% (-0.25 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18% (-0.232 -0.23)52.82% (0.229 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (-0.198 -0.2)74.44% (0.196 0.2)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)17.1% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.7% (-0.104 -0.1)47.3% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.84% (-0.263 -0.26)45.16% (0.259 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.94% (-0.208 -0.21)81.06% (0.20400000000001 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 60.48%
    Ajaccio 16.49%
    Draw 23.02%
MonacoDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 13.63% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 12.04% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.09% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.13% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11%
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 60.48%
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.02%
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.31% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.49%

How you voted: Monaco vs Ajaccio

Monaco
80.0%
Draw
15.6%
Ajaccio
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2014 4pm
Ajaccio
1-4
Monaco
Tallo (75')
Mostefa (33'), Dielna (34'), Faty (67'), Tonucci (81')
Berbatov (52', 74'), Kondogbia (88'), Ocampos (90')
Abidal (85')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15113138122636
2Nice159511661032
3MonacoMonaco1593331201130
4Lille157621911827
5Brest157441915425
6Marseille156542216623
7Lens156541915423
8Reims157262121023
9NantesNantes155371925-618
10StrasbourgStrasbourg154561420-617
11Le HavreLe Havre153751317-416
12Metz154471523-816
13Rennes153662021-115
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier153661720-314
15Toulouse152761421-713
16Lorient152672029-912
17Clermont15258921-1211
18Lyon152491427-1310

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