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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Oct 30, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
AC Ajaccio
Auxerre
1 - 0
Ajaccio
Sakhi (8')
Jubal (23')
Niang (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vidal (39')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 2-1 Auxerre
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-3 PSG
Friday, October 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Auxerre 0-1 Ajaccio

Considering the last three meetings between these two sides have all ended goalless, a closely-fought contest could be on the cards this weekend. However, Ajaccio appear to have turned a corner away from home and we can see them snatching all three points with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawAjaccio
36.73% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 28.95% (0.0030000000000001 0) 34.31% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.96% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.3% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)61.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)81.51% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)32.15% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)68.63% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.26% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.74% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 36.72%
    Ajaccio 34.31%
    Draw 28.94%
AuxerreDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.3%
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 36.72%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.94%
0-1 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 34.31%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Ajaccio

Auxerre
39.4%
Draw
22.5%
Ajaccio
38.0%
71
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2022 6pm
Ajaccio
0-0
Auxerre

Vidal (48'), Marchetti (60')
Marchetti (70')

Joly (30'), Leon (35'), Jubal (72')
Aug 7, 2021 6pm
Auxerre
0-0
Ajaccio

Toure (60'), Sinayoko (68'), Hein (90+7')

Youssouf (40'), Botue (78'), Gonzalez (83'), Courtet (90')
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
Oct 3, 2020 6pm
Auxerre
5-1
Ajaccio
Le Bihan (7', 37'), Dugimont (23' pen., 41'), Fortune (84' pen.)
Toure (33'), Arcus (80')
Elisor (30')
Moussiti-Oko (14')
Feb 7, 2020 7pm
Ajaccio
2-3
Auxerre
El Idrissy (11'), Coeff (31' og.)
Coutadeur (45')
Sakhi (4', 34'), Le Bihan (18')
Van Boto (71')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14103136112533
2MonacoMonaco1593331201130
3Nice14851145929
4Lille147521911826
5Lens156541915423
6Reims147252019123
7Brest146441815322
8Marseille145541814420
9NantesNantes145361823-518
10Le HavreLe Havre143741215-316
11Metz144461522-716
12Rennes153662021-115
13Montpellier HSCMontpellier153661720-314
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143561219-714
15Toulouse142751418-413
16Lorient142661825-712
17Clermont14248921-1210
18Lyon141491127-167

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