Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Ajaccio |
36.73% ( -0.02) | 28.95% ( 0) | 34.31% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 44.96% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.3% ( -0.02) | 61.7% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.48% ( -0.01) | 81.51% ( 0.01) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.85% ( -0.02) | 32.15% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.37% ( -0.03) | 68.63% ( 0.03) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.26% ( 0) | 33.74% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.6% ( 0) | 70.39% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 36.72% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.94% | 0-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |