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Ligue 1

AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Oct 30, 2022 at 12pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
AC Ajaccio

Auxerre
1 - 0
Ajaccio

Sakhi (8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions
Last Game: Reims 2-1 Auxerre
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-3 PSG
Friday, October 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawAjaccio
36.73% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)28.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.31% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.96% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.3% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)61.7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)81.51% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)32.15% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)68.63% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.26% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.74% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 36.72%
    Ajaccio 34.31%
    Draw 28.94%
AuxerreDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.3%
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 36.72%
1-1 @ 13.37%
0-0 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.94%
0-1 @ 11.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 34.31%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Ajaccio

Auxerre
39.4%
Draw
22.5%
Ajaccio
38.0%
71
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2022 6pm
Ajaccio
0-0
Auxerre

Vidal (48'), Marchetti (60')
Marchetti (70')

Joly (30'), Leon (35'), Jubal (72')
Aug 7, 2021 6pm
Auxerre
0-0
Ajaccio

Toure (60'), Sinayoko (68'), Hein (90+7')

Youssouf (40'), Botue (78'), Gonzalez (83'), Courtet (90')
Feb 5, 2021 7pm
Ajaccio
0-0
Auxerre

Bayala (50'), Youssouf (90+5')

Lloris (6')
Lloris (84')
Oct 3, 2020 6pm
Auxerre
5-1
Ajaccio
Le Bihan (7', 37'), Dugimont (23' pen., 41'), Fortune (84' pen.)
Toure (33'), Arcus (80')
Elisor (30')
Moussiti-Oko (14')
Feb 7, 2020 7pm
Ajaccio
2-3
Auxerre
El Idrissy (11'), Coeff (31' og.)
Coutadeur (45')
Sakhi (4', 34'), Le Bihan (18')
Van Boto (71')
rhs 2.0


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