Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12

Oct 23, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade Auguste Delaune

Reims
2 - 1
Auxerre

Balogun (28'), Ito (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Niang (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Reims and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reims

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Reims
Saturday, October 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Nice
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Reims had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Reims	Draw	Auxerre
36.5% ( 0.05)	26.1% ( -0.08)	37.39% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 53.89% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.4% (

0.34)

50.6% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.48% (

0.3)

72.51% (

-0.3)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.16% (

0.19)

26.84% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.86% (

0.25)

62.14% (

-0.25)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.67% (

0.18)

26.33% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.53% (

0.23)

61.47% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Reims 36.5%

Auxerre 37.39%

Draw 26.1%

Reims	Draw	Auxerre
1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.5%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1%	0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.39%