Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Reims had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Auxerre |
36.5% ( 0.05) | 26.1% ( -0.08) | 37.39% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.4% ( 0.34) | 50.6% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.48% ( 0.3) | 72.51% ( -0.3) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.16% ( 0.19) | 26.84% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.86% ( 0.25) | 62.14% ( -0.25) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.67% ( 0.18) | 26.33% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.53% ( 0.23) | 61.47% ( -0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Auxerre |
1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.5% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |