AJ Auxerre
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 6
Oct 3, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
AC Ajaccio

Auxerre
5 - 1
Ajaccio

Le Bihan (7', 37'), Dugimont (23' pen., 41'), Fortune (84' pen.)
Toure (33'), Arcus (80')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Elisor (30')
Moussiti-Oko (14')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Auxerre and Ajaccio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawAjaccio
36.2%29.01%34.79%
Both teams to score 44.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.14%61.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.37%81.63%
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43%32.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89%69.11%
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5%33.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.86%70.14%
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 36.2%
    Ajaccio 34.79%
    Draw 29%
AuxerreDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.24%
2-1 @ 7.51%
2-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.57%
3-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 36.2%
1-1 @ 13.38%
0-0 @ 10.91%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 29%
0-1 @ 11.93%
1-2 @ 7.32%
0-2 @ 6.53%
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 34.79%