MX23RW : Saturday, December 14 01:27:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Monaco

Toulouse
0 - 2
Monaco

FT(HT: 0-0)
Golovin (46'), Embolo (60')
Akliouche (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 3-0 Toulouse
Friday, October 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Red Star
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Toulouse 0-2 Monaco

Monaco are the third-highest scorers in Ligue 1 this season having scored 25 goals across their 13 matches. Toulouse have shipped seven goals in their last three outings, and we think Monaco will have too much firepower for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Monaco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monaco.

Result
ToulouseDrawMonaco
36.48% (0.041999999999994 0.04) 23.67% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 39.85% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 62.65% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.7% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)39.3% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.37% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)61.63% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)54.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)20.02% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77% (-0.061 -0.06)52.23% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 36.48%
    Monaco 39.85%
    Draw 23.66%
ToulouseDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.35%
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.34% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 6.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 39.85%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Monaco

Toulouse
14.3%
Draw
22.4%
Monaco
63.3%
49
Head to Head
May 16, 2020 7pm
Dec 4, 2019 6pm
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
Sanogo (40' pen.)
Ben Yedder (5' pen.), Martins (84')
Glik (39')
Feb 2, 2019 7pm
Monaco
2-1
Toulouse
Golovin (15'), Fabregas (62')
Ballo-Toure (9'), Jemerson (90')
Jullien (20')
Gradel (45'), Diakite (50'), Sylla (60')
Sep 15, 2018 7pm
Toulouse
1-1
Monaco
Leya Iseka (79')
Amian (38'), Gradel (73')
Tielemans (57')
Jemerson (28'), Henrichs (48'), Diop (81')
Feb 24, 2018 4pm
Toulouse
3-3
Monaco
Sangare (24'), Delort (78' pen.), Sanogo (87')
Delort (85')
Lopes (8', 47'), Jovetic (72')
Lemar (83'), Fabinho (90'), Jovetic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Toulouse156361717021
9Auxerre146262121020
10Reims145452018219
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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