Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Monaco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monaco.