Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Aleksandr Golovin 46'
  • goal Breel Embolo 60'

Toulouse vs Monaco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Oct 28, 2022 8.00pm
Lens 3 - 0 Toulouse
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Thijs Dallinga

Monaco

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2022 2.00pm
Monaco 2 - 0 Angers
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Wissam Ben Yedder

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Monaco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monaco.

Result

Toulouse 36.48% (+0.05)
Draw 23.67% (+0.01)
Monaco 39.85% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.65% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.7% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 39.3% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 38.37% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 61.63% (+0.04)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 78.34% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 21.66% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 45.21% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.79% (-0.01)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5 79.97% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 20.02% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 47.77% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 52.23% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Toulouse 36.48%
Draw 23.66%
Monaco 39.85%
Toulouse
2-1 @ 8.16% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.63% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.16% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35%
3-0 @ 2.59% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 36.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.34% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.66%
Monaco
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.97% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 39.85%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 37
May 16, 2020 7.00pm
Stade Louis II
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2019 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Yaya Sanogo 40' goal
  • goal Wissam Ben Yedder 5'
  • yellowcard Kamil Glik 39'
  • goal Gelson Martins 84'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2019 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Louis II (Monaco)
  • Fode Ballo-Toure 9' yellowcard
  • Aleksandr Golovin 15' goal
  • Cesc Fabregas 62' goal
  • Jemerson 90' yellowcard
  • goal Christopher Jullien 20'
  • yellowcard Max Gradel 45'
  • yellowcard Bafode Diakite 50'
  • yellowcard Issiaga Sylla 60'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2018 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium Municipal (Toulouse)
  • Kelvin Amian 38' yellowcard
  • Max Gradel 73' yellowcard
  • Aaron Leya Iseka 79' goal
  • yellowcard Jemerson 28'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 48'
  • goal Youri Tielemans 57'
  • yellowcard Sofiane Diop 81'
Ligue 1
Feb 24, 2018 4.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium Municipal (Toulouse)
  • Ibrahim Sangare 24' goal
  • Andy Delort 78' goal
  • Andy Delort 85' yellowcard
  • Yaya Sanogo 87' goal
  • goal Rony Lopes 8'
  • goal Rony Lopes 47'
  • goal Stevan Jovetic 72'
  • yellowcard Thomas Lemar 83'
  • yellowcard Fabinho 90'
  • yellowcard Stevan Jovetic 90'
Ligue 1
Aug 4, 2017 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jemerson 28' goal
  • Joao Moutinho 50' yellowcard
  • Radamel Falcao 58' goal
  • Kamil Glik 70' goal
  • goal Zinedine Machach 6'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Sangare 26'
  • yellowcard Zinedine Machach 30'
  • goal Andy Delort 53'
  • yellowcard Francois Moubandje 81'