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Ligue 1
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Monaco

Toulouse
0 - 2
Monaco

FT(HT: 0-0)
Golovin (46'), Embolo (60')
Akliouche (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Toulouse
Friday, October 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 4-1 Red Star
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Toulouse 0-2 Monaco

 Monaco are the third-highest scorers in Ligue 1 this season having scored 25 goals across their 13 matches. Toulouse have shipped seven goals in their last three outings, and we think Monaco will have too much firepower for them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Monaco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monaco.

Result
ToulouseDrawMonaco
36.48% (0.041999999999994 0.04) 23.67% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 39.85% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 62.65% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.7% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)39.3% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.37% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)61.63% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)54.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)20.02% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77% (-0.061 -0.06)52.23% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 36.48%
    Monaco 39.85%
    Draw 23.66%
ToulouseDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.35%
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.34% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 6.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 39.85%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Monaco

Toulouse
14.3%
Draw
22.4%
Monaco
63.3%
49
Head to Head
May 16, 2020 7pm
Monaco
P-P
Toulouse
Dec 4, 2019 6pm
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
Sanogo (40' pen.)
Ben Yedder (5' pen.), Martins (84')
Glik (39')
Feb 2, 2019 7pm
Monaco
2-1
Toulouse
Golovin (15'), Fabregas (62')
Ballo-Toure (9'), Jemerson (90')
Jullien (20')
Gradel (45'), Diakite (50'), Sylla (60')
Sep 15, 2018 7pm
Toulouse
1-1
Monaco
Leya Iseka (79')
Amian (38'), Gradel (73')
Tielemans (57')
Jemerson (28'), Henrichs (48'), Diop (81')
Feb 24, 2018 4pm
Toulouse
3-3
Monaco
Sangare (24'), Delort (78' pen.), Sanogo (87')
Delort (85')
Lopes (8', 47'), Jovetic (72')
Lemar (83'), Fabinho (90'), Jovetic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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