Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13

Oct 28, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Bollaert

Lens
3 - 0
Toulouse

Openda (60', 86', 90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 0-1 Lens
Saturday, October 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 2-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Toulouse
56.69% ( 0)	23.46% ( 0)	19.84% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.05% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.18% (

-0.03)

49.82% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.18% (

-0.03)

71.82% (

0.02)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.63% (

-0.01)

17.37% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.23% (

-0.02)

47.77% (

0.01)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.57% (

-0.03)

39.42% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.88% (

-0.03)

76.12% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Lens 56.69%

Toulouse 19.84%

Draw 23.45%

Lens	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.71% Total : 56.69%	1-1 @ 11.15% 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.45%	0-1 @ 6.37% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.37% Total : 19.84%