Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Angers had a probability of 13.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Angers |
65.81% ( -0.31) | 20.21% ( 0.16) | 13.98% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 48.12% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.9% ( -0.33) | 46.11% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.6% ( -0.31) | 68.41% ( 0.32) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.84% ( -0.19) | 13.17% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.14% ( -0.39) | 39.86% ( 0.4) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.42% ( 0.04) | 44.59% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.4% ( 0.03) | 80.6% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Angers |
2-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 65.81% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.21% | 0-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.33% Total : 13.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |