Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 72.73%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Angers had a probability of 10.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monaco in this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Angers |
72.73% ( -0) | 16.52% ( 0) | 10.75% |
Both teams to score 50.77% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.64% ( -0.01) | 37.36% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.43% ( -0.02) | 59.57% ( 0.02) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.06% ( -0) | 8.94% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.48% ( -0.01) | 30.52% ( 0.01) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.75% ( -0.01) | 44.25% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.67% ( -0.01) | 80.33% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Angers |
2-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-0 @ 9.28% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.61% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.71% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.21% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.27% Total : 72.73% | 1-1 @ 7.79% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 16.52% | 0-1 @ 3.22% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.17% 0-2 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.99% Total : 10.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |