Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 3, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Stade Louis II

Monaco
4 - 1
Red Star

Volland (5', 27', 87'), Rodic (50' og.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kanga (54' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Monaco and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Angers
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Red Star Belgrade

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Red Star 2-1 Trabzonspor
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Red Star Belgrade win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
60.68% ( 0.06)	23.71% ( -0.04)	15.61% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 41.88% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.32% (

0.11)

56.67% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.36% (

0.09)

77.64% (

-0.09)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.57% (

0.07)

18.43% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.4% (

0.11)

49.6% (

-0.12)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.34% (

0.04)

48.66% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.29% (

0.03)

83.71% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Monaco 60.67%

Red Star Belgrade 15.61%

Draw 23.7%

Monaco	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
1-0 @ 15.16% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 12.82% 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 60.67%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 23.7%	0-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 15.61%