Europa League
Oct 13, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kristoffer Zachariassen 23' goal
  • Samy Mmaee 61' goal
  • goal Stefan Mitrovic 55'

Ferencvaros vs Red Star Belgrade - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ferencvaros

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 6, 2022 5.45pm
Red Star 4 - 1 Ferencvaros

Red Star Belgrade

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 6, 2022 5.45pm
Red Star 4 - 1 Ferencvaros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ferencvaros in this match.

Result

Ferencvaros 48.94% (-0.22)
Draw 22.7% (-0.03)
Red Star Belgrade 28.36% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.59% (+0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.13% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 37.87% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 39.88% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 60.12% (-0.30)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5 84.21% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 15.79% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 55.07% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 44.93% (-0.06)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5 74.33% (+0.30)
Under 0.5 25.67% (-0.30)
Over 1.5 39.42% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 60.58% (-0.41)

Score analysis

Ferencvaros 48.94%
Draw 22.7%
Red Star Belgrade 28.36%
Ferencvaros
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 7.48% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 6.91% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.78% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.93% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.81% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.77%
Total : 48.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.38% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.05% (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.78% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.7%
Red Star Belgrade
1-2 @ 6.92% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.75% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.14% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.89% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.7% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.07% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 28.36%

Head to Head

Europa League
Oct 6, 2022 5.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Guelor Kanga 27' goal
  • Stefan Mitrovic 35' goal
  • Aleksandar Katai 51' goal
  • Guelor Kanga 60' goal
  • goal Kristoffer Zachariassen 71'