Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 13, 2022 at 8pm UK

Ferencvaros
2 - 1
Red Star

Zachariassen (23'), Mmaee (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mitrovic (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ferencvaros and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ferencvaros

Last Game: Red Star 4-1 Ferencvaros
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Red Star Belgrade

Last Game: Red Star 4-1 Ferencvaros
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ferencvaros in this match.

Result
Ferencvaros	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
48.94% ( -0.21)	22.7% ( -0.02)	28.36% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 62.59% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.13% (

0.28)

37.87% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.88% (

0.3)

60.12% (

-0.3)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.21% (

0.03)

15.79% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.07% (

0.05)

44.93% (

-0.05)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.33% (

0.3)

25.67% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.42% (

0.41)

60.58% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Ferencvaros 48.94%

Red Star Belgrade 28.36%

Draw 22.7%

Ferencvaros	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.78% Total : 48.94%	1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.7%	1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 28.36%