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Europa League

Red Star Belgrade
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Red Star Stadium
Ferencvaros

Red Star
4 - 1
Ferencvaros

Kanga (27' pen., 60'), Mitrovic (35'), Katai (51')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Zachariassen (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Red Star Belgrade and Ferencvaros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star Belgrade

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Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-1 Red Star
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
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Ferencvaros

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Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Ferencvaros
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawFerencvaros
48.15% (-0.26499999999999 -0.26)24.89% (0.051000000000002 0.05)26.96% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 53.95% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.24% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)48.76% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)70.87% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.71% (-0.133 -0.13)20.28% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.35% (-0.214 -0.21)52.64% (0.219 0.22)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (0.142 0.14)32.32% (-0.138 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (0.158 0.16)68.83% (-0.155 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 48.15%
    Ferencvaros 26.96%
    Draw 24.88%
Red Star BelgradeDrawFerencvaros
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 48.15%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.046 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 26.96%

How you voted: Red Star vs Ferencvaros

Red Star Belgrade
52.7%
Draw
16.3%
Ferencvaros
31.0%
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