Europa League
Oct 6, 2022 5.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Guelor Kanga 27' goal
  • Stefan Mitrovic 35' goal
  • Aleksandar Katai 51' goal
  • Guelor Kanga 60' goal
  • goal Kristoffer Zachariassen 71'

Red Star Belgrade vs Ferencvaros - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star Belgrade

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Trabzonspor 2 - 1 Red Star

Ferencvaros

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Monaco 0 - 1 Ferencvaros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.

Result

Red Star Belgrade 48.15% (-0.27)
Draw 24.89% (+0.06)
Ferencvaros 26.96% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.95% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.24% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 48.76% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 29.13% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 70.87% (+0.06)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5 79.71% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 20.28% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 47.35% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 52.64% (+0.22)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5 67.68% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 32.32% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 31.17% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 68.83% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Red Star Belgrade 48.15%
Draw 24.88%
Ferencvaros 26.96%
Red Star Belgrade
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 48.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.56% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.32% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.88%
Ferencvaros
0-1 @ 7.41% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.67% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.18% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.51% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 26.96%