Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.