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Europa League

Trabzonspor
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Şenol Güneş Spor Kompleksi
Red Star Belgrade

Trabzonspor
2 - 1
Red Star

Hamsik (16'), Trezeguet (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nikolic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Trabzonspor and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Trabzonspor

Last Six:
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 3-2 Trabzonspor
Monday, September 12 at 7.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

Red Star Belgrade

Last Six:
    Last Game: Red Star 0-1 Monaco
    Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.

    Result
    TrabzonsporDrawRed Star Belgrade
    41.91% (0.022999999999996 0.02)25.16% (0.033000000000001 0.03)32.93% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
    Both teams to score 56.43% (-0.138 -0.14)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    52.94% (-0.167 -0.17)47.05% (0.168 0.17)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    30.7% (-0.157 -0.16)69.3% (0.158 0.16)
    Trabzonspor Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    77.61% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)22.39% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    44.11% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)55.89% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
    Red Star Belgrade Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    72.71% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)27.29% (0.118 0.12)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    37.27% (-0.153 -0.15)62.73% (0.154 0.15)
    Score Analysis
        Trabzonspor 41.91%
        Red Star Belgrade 32.93%
        Draw 25.16%
    TrabzonsporDrawRed Star Belgrade
    1-0 @ 9.14% (0.048 0.05)
    2-1 @ 8.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
    2-0 @ 6.84% (0.023 0.02)
    3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
    3-0 @ 3.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.015 -0.02)
    4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.006 -0.01)
    4-0 @ 1.28%
    4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
    Other @ 2.29%
    Total : 41.91%
    		1-1 @ 11.87% (0.02 0.02)
    0-0 @ 6.11% (0.043 0.04)
    2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
    3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
    Other @ 0.16%
    Total : 25.16%
    		0-1 @ 7.93% (0.03 0.03)
    1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
    0-2 @ 5.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
    2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.016 -0.02)
    0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
    1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
    Other @ 2.99%
    Total : 32.93%

    How you voted: Trabzonspor vs Red Star

    Trabzonspor
    43.5%
    Draw
    24.1%
    Red Star Belgrade
    32.4%
    108