Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2022 4.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • M'Baye Niang 30' goal
  • Youssouf Fofana 68' goal
  • goal Wissam Ben Yedder 45'+3'
  • goal Eliesse Ben Seghir 58'
  • goal Eliesse Ben Seghir 85'

Auxerre vs Monaco - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions
Last game
Nov 13, 2022 12.00pm
PSG 5 - 0 Auxerre
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
M'Baye Niang

Monaco

All competitions
Last game
Nov 13, 2022 7.45pm
Monaco 2 - 3 Marseille
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Wissam Ben Yedder

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result

Auxerre 29.46% (+2.76)
Draw 24.79% (+0.21)
Monaco 45.75% (-2.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.06% (+1.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.19% (+0.84)
Under 2.5 46.81% (-0.84)
Over 3.5 30.93% (+0.78)
Under 3.5 69.06% (-0.79)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5 70.54% (+2.48)
Under 0.5 29.45% (-2.48)
Over 1.5 34.54% (+2.92)
Under 1.5 65.46% (-2.93)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5 79.47% (-0.93)
Under 0.5 20.52% (+0.92)
Over 1.5 46.97% (-1.48)
Under 1.5 53.02% (+1.47)

Score analysis

Auxerre 29.46%
Draw 24.78%
Monaco 45.75%
Auxerre
1-0 @ 7.39% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 7.15% (+0.51)
2-0 @ 4.52% (+0.44)
3-1 @ 2.91% (+0.39)
3-2 @ 2.31% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 1.84% (+0.29)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 29.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 5.66% (+0.25)
3-3 @ 1.22% (+0.10)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.78%
Monaco
0-1 @ 9.57% (-0.63)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.23)
0-2 @ 7.58% (-0.73)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.26)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.52)
2-3 @ 2.99% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.17)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.26)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.75%