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Ligue 1

Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Louis II
Marseille

Monaco
2 - 3
Marseille

Ben Yedder (45' pen.), Volland (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sanchez (35'), Veretout (83'), Kolasinac (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Lyon
Sunday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
MonacoDrawMarseille
42.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)25.1% (0.0020000000000024 0)32.23% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)69.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78%22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)27.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)63.27% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 42.67%
    Marseille 32.23%
    Draw 25.1%
MonacoDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 42.67%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 32.23%

How you voted: Monaco vs Marseille

Monaco
72.2%
Draw
14.8%
Marseille
13.0%
115
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
Marseille
0-1
Monaco

Peres (53'), Sampaoli (82'), Kamara (90+1')
Martins (58')
Disasi (56')
Sep 11, 2021 8pm
Monaco
0-2
Marseille

Diop (23'), Tchouameni (49'), Aguilar (57'), Fofana (83')
Dieng (37', 60')
Sampaoli (15'), Kamara (16')
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Monaco
3-1
Marseille
Maripan (47'), Tchouameni (75'), Jovetic (90+2')
Diatta (81'), Golovin (89'), Fofana (90+3')
Radonjic (12')
Balerdi (21'), Sakai (49'), Gonzalez (76'), Khaoui (82'), Gueye (90')
Dec 12, 2020 4pm
Marseille
2-1
Monaco
Thauvin (5'), Benedetto (13')
Kamara (76'), Thauvin (77'), Germain (90+3')
Ben Yedder (79' pen.)
Fofana (43')
May 9, 2020 7pm
Marseille
P-P
Monaco
rhs 2.0


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