Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15

Nov 13, 2022 at 12pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
5 - 0
Auxerre

Mbappe (11'), Soler (51'), Hakimi (57'), Sanches (81'), Ekitike (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lorient 1-2 PSG
Sunday, November 6 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Auxerre
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.51%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 9.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.69%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Auxerre
77.51% ( 0.07)	13.32% ( -0.06)	9.17% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 57.88% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.19% (

0.24)

25.81% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.03% (

0.31)

45.97% (

-0.31)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.61% (

0.06)

5.38% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.88% (

0.17)

21.11% (

-0.18)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.17% (

0.16)

38.83% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.44% (

0.15)

75.56% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 77.51%

Auxerre 9.17%

Draw 13.32%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Auxerre
2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.35% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 5.65% Total : 77.51%	1-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 13.32%	1-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 9.17%