Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.9%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 10.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.35%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Lorient win it was 2-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
10.28% ( 0.28) | 15.82% ( 0.24) | 73.9% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 51.7% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.71% ( -0.27) | 35.28% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.69% ( -0.3) | 57.3% ( 0.29) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.3% ( 0.36) | 43.69% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.12% ( 0.3) | 79.87% ( -0.3) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.83% ( -0.17) | 8.17% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.37% ( -0.44) | 28.62% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.28% | 1-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.01% Total : 15.82% | 0-2 @ 11.19% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 9.35% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 7.74% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 5.86% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 4.85% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 2.93% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( -0) 0-6 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) 1-6 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 73.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |