Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14

Nov 6, 2022 at 12pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
1 - 2
PSG

Moffi (53')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Neymar (9'), Pereira (81')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Nice
Sunday, October 30 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Juventus 1-2 PSG
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.9%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 10.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.35%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Lorient win it was 2-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
10.28% ( 0.28)	15.82% ( 0.24)	73.9% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 51.7% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.71% (

-0.27)

35.28% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.69% (

-0.3)

57.3% (

0.29)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.3% (

0.36)

43.69% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.12% (

0.3)

79.87% (

-0.3)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.83% (

-0.17)

8.17% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.37% (

-0.44)

28.62% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Lorient 10.28%

Paris Saint-Germain 73.9%

Draw 15.82%

Lorient	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.28%	1-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.01% Total : 15.82%	0-2 @ 11.19% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 9.35% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 7.74% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 5.86% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 4.85% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 2.93% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.01% ( -0) 0-6 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) 1-6 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 73.9%