Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.