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AJ Auxerre
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Ligue 1

Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
AJ Auxerre

Troyes
1 - 1
Auxerre

Lopes (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Perrin (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: PSG 4-3 Troyes
Saturday, October 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Auxerre

All competitions
Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, October 30 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
TroyesDrawAuxerre
54.79% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)22.92% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)22.29% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)44.54% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)66.91% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)16.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)45.59% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01% (0.018999999999991 0.02)33.99% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33% (0.02 0.02)70.67% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 54.78%
    Auxerre 22.29%
    Draw 22.92%
TroyesDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 10% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 54.78%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.92%
0-1 @ 5.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 22.29%

How you voted: Troyes vs Auxerre

Troyes
67.6%
Draw
22.5%
Auxerre
9.8%
102
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 2pm
Troyes
3-1
Auxerre
Dingome (28'), Raveloson (75'), Gory (90')
Gallon (80'), Salmier (90+3')
Fortune (79')
Coeff (69')
Sep 21, 2020 7.45pm
Auxerre
2-1
Troyes
N'Gando (37'), Le Bihan (59')
Arcus (61')
Touzghar (90+1')
Tardieu (79'), Salmier (88'), Lumeka (90+4')
Feb 24, 2020 7.45pm
Troyes
3-1
Auxerre
Tchimbembe (29', 65'), Bedia (37')
Tardieu (26'), Giraudon (45')
N'Gando (44')
Michel (45'), Sylvestre (83')
Toure (44')
Sep 20, 2019 7pm
Auxerre
1-2
Troyes
Yattara (25')
Bellugou (22')
Le Bihan (44')
Tardieu (5'), Bedia (92')
Salmier (45'), Barthelme (60'), Giraudon (66'), Kouyate (70'), Gallon (95')
Mar 1, 2019 7pm
Auxerre
0-2
Troyes

Van Boto (10')
Mbeumo (12'), Touzghar (43')
Mbeumo (31')
rhs 2.0


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