Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Ajaccio |
39.61% (![]() | 28.16% (![]() | 32.22% |
Both teams to score 46.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.77% (![]() | 59.23% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.35% (![]() | 79.65% (![]() |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.83% (![]() | 29.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.89% (![]() | 65.11% (![]() |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.11% (![]() | 33.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.44% (![]() | 70.56% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 12.18% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.12% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.5% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.03% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.61% Total : 39.61% | 1-1 @ 13.17% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.89% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.39% ( ![]() Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 10.69% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.58% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 25 | 33 |
2 | Nice | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Reims | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 23 |
6 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Brest | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 21 |
8 | NantesNantes | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
9 | Marseille | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Metz | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
14 | Toulouse | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Lorient | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
17 | Clermont | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
18 | Lyon | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |