Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ajaccio | Draw | Strasbourg |
28.02% ( -0.01) | 28.02% ( -0) | 43.96% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 45.49% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.94% ( 0) | 60.06% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.71% ( 0.01) | 80.28% ( -0.01) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.46% ( -0) | 37.54% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.68% ( -0) | 74.32% ( -0) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.82% ( 0) | 27.17% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.42% ( 0.01) | 62.57% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ajaccio | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.71% Total : 28.02% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 13.29% 0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 43.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |