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Ligue 1

AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Strasbourg

Ajaccio
4 - 2
Strasbourg

Belaili (33' pen., 40' pen.), El Idrissy (34'), Nouri (45+2')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Bellegarde (6'), Gameiro (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, October 30 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Marseille
Saturday, October 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
AjaccioDrawStrasbourg
28.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)28.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)43.96% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Both teams to score 45.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.94% (0.0040000000000049 0)60.06% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)80.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)37.54% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.68% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)74.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (0.0040000000000049 0)27.17% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)62.57% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 28.02%
    Strasbourg 43.96%
    Draw 28.01%
AjaccioDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 9.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 28.02%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 10.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 13.29%
0-2 @ 8.66% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 43.96%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Strasbourg

Ajaccio
26.1%
Draw
20.5%
Strasbourg
53.4%
88