Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.