Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1

Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadium Municipal
AC Ajaccio

Toulouse
2 - 0
Ajaccio

Ratao (46'), Dejaegere (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 6-1 Toulouse
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Angers
Wednesday, December 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawAjaccio
44.98% (-0.149 -0.15)25.92% (0.074999999999999 0.07)29.1% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.19% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.23% (-0.282 -0.28)51.76% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47% (-0.246 -0.25)73.53% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.193 -0.19)22.95% (0.185 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (-0.28 -0.28)56.72% (0.272 0.27)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)32.27% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23% (-0.109 -0.11)68.77% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 44.98%
    Ajaccio 29.1%
    Draw 25.91%
ToulouseDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.02%
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 44.98%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.081 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.071 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.1%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Ajaccio

Toulouse
37.5%
Draw
43.8%
Ajaccio
18.8%
48
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 6pm
Ajaccio
1-0
Toulouse
Nouri (28' pen.)

Costa (27')
Jul 24, 2021 6pm
Toulouse
2-2
Ajaccio
Healey (33'), Kalulu (54' og.)
Healey (50')
Adli (90+5')
Laci (35', 59')
Vidal (10'), Youssouf (13'), Huard (40'), Leroy (77'), Avinel (90+4')
Vidal (38')
Feb 15, 2021 7.45pm
Toulouse
3-0
Ajaccio
Machado (27'), Adli (86'), Issouf Bayo (90+1')
Gabrielsen (47'), Adli (85')

Coutadeur (62')
Oct 17, 2020 6pm
Ajaccio
0-1
Toulouse

Huard (29'), Laci (37'), Avinel (52'), Kalulu (87'), Barreto (90')
Kalulu (90+2')
Spierings (87' pen.)
Spierings (10'), Sanna (38'), Dejaegere (54')
Antiste (8')
May 27, 2018 8pm
Final
Toulouse
1-0
Ajaccio
Durmaz (88')

Vialla (43'), Boe-Kane (84')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!