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Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadium Municipal
AC Ajaccio
Toulouse
2 - 0
Ajaccio
Ratao (46'), Dejaegere (62')
van den Boomen (37'), Dejaegere (56'), Dallinga (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 6-1 Toulouse
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Angers
Wednesday, December 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-1 Ajaccio

The home team might be a little shell-shocked given what happened to them earlier this week at the hands of Marseille. Fortunately, they are facing a team with less quality than OM, so they should have an easier time containing Ajaccio, who are more known for their defending than attacking. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawAjaccio
44.98% (-0.149 -0.15) 25.92% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 29.1% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.19% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.23% (-0.282 -0.28)51.76% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47% (-0.246 -0.25)73.53% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.193 -0.19)22.95% (0.185 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (-0.28 -0.28)56.72% (0.272 0.27)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)32.27% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23% (-0.109 -0.11)68.77% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 44.98%
    Ajaccio 29.1%
    Draw 25.91%
ToulouseDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.02%
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 44.98%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.081 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.071 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.1%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Ajaccio

Toulouse
37.5%
Draw
43.8%
Ajaccio
18.8%
48
Head to Head
May 14, 2022 6pm
Jul 24, 2021 6pm
Toulouse
2-2
Ajaccio
Healey (33'), Kalulu (54' og.)
Healey (50')
Adli (90+5')
Laci (35', 59')
Vidal (10'), Youssouf (13'), Huard (40'), Leroy (77'), Avinel (90+4')
Vidal (38')
Feb 15, 2021 7.45pm
Toulouse
3-0
Ajaccio
Machado (27'), Adli (86'), Issouf Bayo (90+1')
Gabrielsen (47'), Adli (85')

Coutadeur (62')
Oct 17, 2020 6pm
Ajaccio
0-1
Toulouse

Huard (29'), Laci (37'), Avinel (52'), Kalulu (87'), Barreto (90')
Kalulu (90+2')
Spierings (87' pen.)
Spierings (10'), Sanna (38'), Dejaegere (54')
Antiste (8')
May 27, 2018 8pm
Final
Toulouse
1-0
Ajaccio
Durmaz (88')

Vialla (43'), Boe-Kane (84')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15113138122636
2Nice159511661032
3MonacoMonaco1593331201130
4Lille157621911827
5Brest157441915425
6Marseille156542216623
7Lens156541915423
8Reims157262121023
9NantesNantes155371925-618
10StrasbourgStrasbourg154561420-617
11Le HavreLe Havre153751317-416
12Metz154471523-816
13Rennes153662021-115
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier153661720-314
15Toulouse152761421-713
16Lorient152672029-912
17Clermont15258921-1211
18Lyon152491427-1310

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