Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Ajaccio |
44.98% (![]() | 25.92% (![]() | 29.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.19% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.23% (![]() | 51.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.47% (![]() | 73.53% (![]() |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.05% (![]() | 22.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.28% (![]() | 56.72% (![]() |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.73% (![]() | 32.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.23% (![]() | 68.77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 10.89% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.07% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.02% 3-1 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.07% Total : 44.98% | 1-1 @ 12.32% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.38% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.74% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.79% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 38 | 12 | 26 | 36 |
2 | Nice | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 32 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Brest | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 25 |
6 | Marseille | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 23 |
8 | Reims | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 23 |
9 | NantesNantes | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 17 |
11 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 16 |
12 | Metz | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 16 |
13 | Rennes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 15 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Toulouse | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Lorient | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 12 |
17 | Clermont | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 11 |
18 | Lyon | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |