/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ftoulog.png)
-
Valentin Rongier
13'
-
Rasmus Nicolaisen
41'
-
Sead Kolasinac
51'
-
Dimitri Payet
61'
-
Cengiz Under
80'
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Nuno Tavares
82'
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Branco van den Boomen
66'
Marseille vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F40%2Fmarran.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.31%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result
Marseille
54.31%
▼
(-0.15)
Draw
22.27%
▲
(+0.09)
Toulouse
23.41%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
59.04%
▼
(-0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.67%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 2.5
40.33%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 3.5
37.29%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 3.5
62.71%
▲
(+0.37)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5
85.16%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 0.5
14.83%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 1.5
56.85%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 1.5
43.14%
▲
(+0.33)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5
69.33%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
30.67%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
33.08%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
66.92%
▲
(+0.19)
Score analysis
Marseille
54.31%
Draw
22.27%
Toulouse
23.41%
Marseille
2-1
@
9.79%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 54.31%
1-0 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 54.31%
Draw
1-1
@
10.26%
▲
(+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.27%
2-2 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.27%
Toulouse
1-2
@
6.06%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 23.41%
