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Ligue 1

Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Route de Lorient
Toulouse

Rennes
2 - 1
Toulouse

Bourigeaud (25'), Kalimuendo (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dallinga (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, November 6 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 74.85%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 9.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.6%) and 3-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawToulouse
74.85% (0.23399999999999 0.23)15.96% (-0.073 -0.07)9.19% (-0.164 -0.16)
Both teams to score 46.49% (-0.454 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.35% (-0.216 -0.22)39.65% (0.215 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38% (-0.226 -0.23)62% (0.225 0.23)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.98%9.01% (-0.0010999999999992 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.71% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.1% (-0.5 -0.5)48.9% (0.499 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.12% (-0.361 -0.36)83.88% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 74.83%
    Toulouse 9.19%
    Draw 15.96%
RennesDrawToulouse
2-0 @ 12.76% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 10.6% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 10.23% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 6.16% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.41% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.96% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.029 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.19% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 74.83%
1-1 @ 7.59% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.27% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 15.96%
0-1 @ 3.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.72% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 9.19%

How you voted: Rennes vs Toulouse

Rennes
90.0%
Draw
6.7%
Toulouse
3.3%
60
Head to Head
Feb 29, 2020 7pm
Toulouse
0-2
Rennes

Sangare (23'), Vainqueur (33'), Diakite (45')
Bourigeaud (3'), Maouassa (83')
Traore (29')
Oct 27, 2019 2pm
Rennes
3-2
Toulouse
Niang (3'), Hunou (6'), Gboho (92')
Bourigeaud (65')
Dossevi (41'), Gradel (84')
Moreira (36'), Amian (79')
May 5, 2019 2pm
Toulouse
2-2
Rennes
Durmaz (40' pen.), Dossevi (51')
Sidibe (21'), Sanogo (30'), Sangare (42')
Niang (35'), Sarr (58' pen.)
Grenier (29'), Niang (31'), Lea Siliki (90')
Sep 30, 2018 2pm
Rennes
1-1
Toulouse
Niang (70' pen.)
Andre (59')
Todibo (88')
Sangare (28'), Leya Iseka (43'), Todibo (69')
Leya Iseka (43')
Apr 29, 2018 2pm
Rennes
2-1
Toulouse
Lea Siliki (39'), Bourigeaud (47')
Lea Siliki (50')
Lea Siliki (70')
Gnagnon (17' og.)
Gradel (50')
rhs 2.0


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